I presumed after the strength shown on
Friday that there would be a continuation today. My thoughts were
that a strong close with a few indexes at or near their all time
highs would carry over through at least today. This made sense to me
at the time in part because I expected Friday's action would entice
further participation today and I had expectations that the first two
days of February might mirror those of January. Clearly this was a
mistaken assumption as many indexes reversed course and erased the
gain entirely. Closing at their lows shows that there was no
interest of buying this dip.
My tabulation of All-Time-Highs list
193 on Friday and 52 today. There were 42 stocks up 4% in my
universe to 128 down which is the second day of selling over the past
4. Two of the stocks I bought Friday made quality moves after entry
only to reverse and fall back on their own weight and stopping me out even
on one, and a dime away on the other. The other two closed below my
purchase price. The stocks I am buying are not acting in accordance
with my statistics which gives me pause. I know from my records
there is a high probability of me getting stopped out on the
remaining trades. When losses start stacking up there are only two
places I can look: at myself, or at a market that I am not in sync
with.
There are enough warning signs
accumulating for me to take a disinterest in any more long purchases
over the near future. My focus instead will be looking at the charts
of the market moving stocks for further deterioration of their price
patterns. Continued break downs will have me looking at index ETFs
to short.
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