Tuesday, April 2, 2013

A Tale of Two Index


While the SP hit a fresh high today and comes within 6 points of its all time high set in 2007, the Russell continues to lag and has gone 11 sessions without making a new high. In addition, after yesterdays 1%+ drop on the index there was follow through to the downside. Over the duration of the move off of the November lows both of these indexes have moved lock-step overall and have tended to dip below the 10MA during the same minor pullbacks until this week.

Russell
SP


Also of note today two ETFs of printed their highest volume over a years time, FAZ and TZA. I take this with a pinch of caution because both had reverse splits so this may have had some influence upon the days trading. The simplest confirmation of today's volume being significant from my perspective would be rising prices.

FAZ YHV

TZA

Looking at the SPY, the pattern over the past three years has been fairly consistent with a market correction in Q2 and usually starting around April. It remains to be seen if this pattern repeats but it's worth keeping in mind.

SPY

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